Saturday, December 12, 2009

The Forgotten Depression of 1920 - Thomas E. Woods, Jr. - Mises Institute

The Forgotten Depression of 1920 - Thomas E. Woods, Jr. - Mises Institute: "The economic situation in 1920 was grim. By that year unemployment had jumped from 4 percent to nearly 12 percent, and GNP declined 17 percent. No wonder, then, that Secretary of Commerce Herbert Hoover — falsely characterized as a supporter of laissez-faire economics — urged President Harding to consider an array of interventions to turn the economy around. Hoover was ignored.

Instead of 'fiscal stimulus,' Harding cut the government's budget nearly in half between 1920 and 1922. The rest of Harding's approach was equally laissez-faire. Tax rates were slashed for all income groups. The national debt was reduced by one-third.

The Federal Reserve's activity, moreover, was hardly noticeable. As one economic historian puts it, 'Despite the severity of the contraction, the Fed did not move to use its powers to turn the money supply around and fight the contraction.'[2] By the late summer of 1921, signs of recovery were already visible. The following year, unemployment was back down to 6.7 percent and it was only 2.4 percent by 1923."

"In his 1920 speech accepting the Republican presidential nomination, Harding declared,

We will attempt intelligent and courageous deflation, and strike at government borrowing which enlarges the evil, and we will attack high cost of government with every energy and facility which attend Republican capacity. We promise that relief which will attend the halting of waste and extravagance, and the renewal of the practice of public economy, not alone because it will relieve tax burdens but because it will be an example to stimulate thrift and economy in private life.
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Fourth and Long | Benjamin H. Friedman | Cato Institute: Commentary

Fourth and Long | Benjamin H. Friedman | Cato Institute: Commentary: "This process explains why the public overestimates al Qaeda's menace. In its history, it has killed about one-tenth the number of Americans that die annually from the flu. Even in the Taliban's Afghanistan, it never came close to acquiring nuclear or biological weapons. Though friendly militias have harbored al Qaeda in western Pakistan since late 2001, the group has not launched another successful attack against U.S. territory. Opinion polls suggest that the jihadist movement that spawned al Qaeda is waning -- unsurprisingly, for an unappealing ideology that considers even most Muslims legitimate targets for murder."