Wednesday, August 03, 2011

Beneficiaries of Trade: You and Me | Daniel Griswold | Cato Institute: Commentary

Beneficiaries of Trade: You and Me | Daniel Griswold | Cato Institute: Commentary: "So, when the BEA reports that imports 'subtracted' two percentage points from economic growth in the past quarter, that doesn't mean that GDP would have grown that much faster without those pesky imports. It only means that other components — private and government expenditures, investment, and exports — were overstated by that amount. The subtraction reduces the overstatement, not real gross domestic product."

"Civilian employment expanded at a healthy 1.4% a year during periods of rising trade deficits, while job growth was virtually zero during stretches when the deficit was shrinking. The jobless rate declined an average of 0.4 percentage points per year when the trade gap was on an upward trend, and jumped a painful one point per year when the deficit was trending down. Apparently, the only thing worse for the U.S. economy than a rising trade deficit is a falling one."

No comments: